Service Plays Wednesday 08/12/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Diamondbacks Tuesday night.

Wednesday it's the Yankees. The surplus is 860 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 12, 2009

Hard-luck Hondo dropped another tough one last night when the Marlins brought down the Astros in the 11th hour, which inflated the deficit to 470 ortas.

Tonight, he'll go with the firm of Hunter, Bannister and Smardzija -- 10 units apiece on the Rangers, Royals and Cubs.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

WENDESDAY, AUGUST 12

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Philadelphia (62-48) at Chicago Cubs (58-53)

Pedro Martinez is scheduled to make his Phillies debut when he takes the mound at Wrigley Field and matches up against the Cubs’ Jeff Samardzija (1-1, 6.29 ERA), who will be making the first big-league start of his young career.

After getting swept at home by the Marlins over the weekend, Philadelphia bounced back Tuesday and gutted out a 4-3, 12-inning victory. Despite the win, the Phillies have still lost six of nine and eight of 12, going 2-4 on the road during this slump. Still, the defending world champs continue to sport baseball’s best road record (33-19) and they’re on a 36-16 roll against the N.L. Central, but they have dropped 11 of 15 on Wednesday.

The Cubs have now lost three in a row, five of six and seven of 11. Chicago is still 8-3 in its last 11at Wrigley Field, with all eight wins coming by multiple runs.

Philadelphia has won three of four against the Cubs this year and is 5-1 in the last six meetings (3-0 at Wrigley Field).

Martinez was signed by the Phillies last month and immediately placed on the disabled list with a shoulder injury. He went 1-1 with a 5.11 ERA in three minor-league rehab starts, including striking out 11 in six innings in Wednesday’s outing at Double-A Reading. Last year with the Mets, the veteran right-hander went 5-6 with a 5.61 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP in 20 starts, including 0-3 with a 7.77 ERA in four starts in September.

Martinez is 4-3 with a 4.12 ERA in 13 career appearances (eight starts) against the Cubs, including 2-2 with a 5.24 ERA in six games (three starts) at Wrigley Field. Coincidentally, his final start in 2008 came against Chicago in Shea Stadium, and he gave up five runs in six innings, getting a no-decision in the Mets’ 7-6 victory.

Samardzija last pitched on Friday at Colorado, when he gave up two runs on five hits in four innings of relief work, getting a no-decision in the Cubs’ 6-2 defeat. The former star wide receiver from Notre Dame is 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA and one save in 42 career major-league appearances, including 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA in three career appearances against Philadelphia, giving up three runs in 3 2/3 innings. This season at Wrigley Field, the right-hander is 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA in eight relief outings.

The under is 12-4-2 in the last 18 Phillies-Cubs clashes at Wrigley Field, and the under is on further runs of 7-2 for Philly on the road, 8-2 for Philly against right-handed starters, 14-5 for Philly on Wednesday and 10-2 for Chicago on Wednesday. Finally, the under was 3-1-1 in Martinez’s last four starts in 2008, though the lone “over” occurred in his final start of the year versus the Cubs.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA and UNDER



AMERICAN LEAGUE

Detroit (59-53) at Boston (64-48)

The Red Sox hand the ball to All-Star Josh Beckett (13-4, 3.12 ERA) as they continue their four-game Fenway Park series against the Tigers, who will counter with struggling right-hander Armando Galarraga (6-10, 5.23).

Boston snapped a six-game slide (all on the road) with Monday’s 6-5 victory over the Tigers, then came back on Tuesday and earned a 7-5 win a brawl-filled contest. The Sox are still just 9-14 in their last 23 contests (6-3 at home) and 3-12 in their last 15 against teams with a winning record. On the bright side, they’re on runs of 102-46 at Fenway and 42-15 versus the A.L. Central. Also, Boston has dominated the Tigers of late, winning all five meetings this season, six straight going back to last year and 10 of the last 12, scoring five runs or more in all 10 wins.

Detroit has followed up a three-game winning streak by losing three of its last four. Jim Leyland’s squad is on further downturns of 7-20 on the highway, 17-42 on the road against winning teams, 3-9 against the A.L. East and 1-9 on the road versus right-handed starters.

In addition to their recent success against the Tigers, the Red Sox are 37-15 in the last 52 series clashes overall and 21-6 in the last 27 meetings at Fenway Park.

Galarraga is 1-2 with a 7.64 ERA in his last three trips to the mound, the lone victory being a 10-8 home triumph over Minnesota on Friday, even though the right-hander gave up four runs (three earned) on eight hits and five walks in just five innings. The Tigers had lost five straight games behind Galarraga prior to Friday and they’re just 3-9 in his last 12 outings on the road, but they're 13-6 in his last 19 starts against teams with a winning record.

Galarraga has struggled this season both on the road (2-6, 5.97 ERA in 10 starts) and in night games (2-9, 5.25 in 15 games). The right-hander is also 0-1 with a 5.84 ERA in two starts against Boston (both in Detroit), the loss coming on June 3 when he gave up four runs (three earned) in seven innings, falling 10-5.

Beckett was virtually flawless on Friday at Yankee Stadium, tossing seven scoreless innings while giving up four hits and two walks with seven strikeouts. However, he didn’t get any offensive support and the Red Sox eventually lost 2-0 in 15 innings. Beckett has pitched exactly seven innings in three straight starts and he’s gone into the seventh inning in nine consecutive outings, giving up zero runs in five of those contests.

Beckett is a perfect 7-0 with a 2.58 ERA in 10 home starts, with Boston winning nine of those games. In fact, with Beckett on the hill, the BoSox are on surges of 7-2 overall, 5-0 at home, 14-3 versus the A.L. Central, 14-4 on grass and 6-2 on Wednesday. The Texas native matched up against Galarraga in a 10-5 win at Detroit on June 3, allowing three runs (none earned) on two hits in 7 2/3 innings, walking two and striking out nine. In his last two starts against the Tigers, Beckett is 2-0 with a 0.61 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings.

The under is 5-2 in Galarraga’s last seven starts overall, 8-2 in his last 10 on the road and 4-1 in his last five on Wednesday. Similarly, with Beckett pitching, Boston is on “under” streaks of 5-1 overall, 6-1 at home and 4-1 versus A.L. Central foes.

As a team, the Red Sox have topped the total in six straight home games, and the over is 22-8-1 in their last 31 on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Tigers are on “over” stretches of 6-0 overall, 5-1 on the road and 5-1 against the A.L. East, but the under is 12-4-1 in their last 17 against winning teams and 7-1 in their last eight on Wednesday. Finally, the under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 Boston-Detroit duels at Fenway Park, although the first two in this series have flown over the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Dodgers (Weaver)

SAN FRANCISCO (LINCECUM) (1)



Cincinnati (Bailey)

ST. LOUIS (CARPENTER) -320 (2)



Detroit (Galarraga)

BOSTON (BECKETT) -240 (3)



RUN TOTALS

Toronto / Yankees UNDER 9 ½

Oakland / Baltimore OVER 10 ½

Tampa Bay / Angels UNDER 10

 

[polishrebel]

Good To be Back Boys-NFL Time
Gold Medal Club : 18 K Total-
251Wash@252Balt 7:30 pm 8/13
PLAY UNDER 31.5

 

[Yanks]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Pittsburgh at Colorado

The Pirates look to take advantage of a Colorado team that is just 2-6 in its last 8 games as a favorite of -200 or more. Pittsburgh is the pick (+220) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+220). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 12

Game 951-952: NY Mets at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Perez) 14.481; Arizona (Garland) 15.825
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-170); Under
Game 953-954: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Weaver) 14.459; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.016
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 955-956: Houston at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 15.502; Florida (Nolasco) 14.981
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+165); Over
Game 957-958: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Stammen) 15.990; Atlanta (Lowe) 16.715
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-235); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-235); Under
Game 959-960: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Martinez) 13.459; Cubs (Samardzija) 15.023
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+115); N/A
Game 961-962: San Diego at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Correia) 14.915; Milwaukee (Villanueva) 14.252
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); Over
Game 963-964: Cincinnati at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.118; St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.259
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-320); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-320); Under
Game 965-966: Pittsburgh at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Hart) 15.077; Colorado (Jimenez) 14.059
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-240); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+220); Over
Game 967-968: Toronto at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 16.595; NY Yankees (Burnett) 15.858
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-240); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+220); Over
Game 969-970: Oakland at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Mazzaro) 14.895; Baltimore (Berken) 14.048
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+125); Under
Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.471; LA Angels (Bell) 14.957
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-110); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-110); Over
Game 973-974: Texas at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Hunter) 16.006; Cleveland (Carmona) 17.230
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+115); Under
Game 975-976: Detroit at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 14.610; Boston (Beckett) 16.189
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-240); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-240); Over
Game 977-978: Kansas City at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Bannister) 15.875; Minnesota (Liriano) 14.762
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+190); Over
Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 15.434; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.822
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+130); Under

 

[Yanks]

Joe Wiz Bonus Plays

Cin/StL Under
SD/Milw Under
StL-1.5

 

[Yanks]

Cappers Access

D'Backs(RL)

Indians

 

[Yanks]

Rated Picks

MLB:

MLB 08/12 Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies pick: Colorado Rockies pts: -1.5 (-115) 3 units np
MLB 08/12 Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies pick: Colorado Rockies pts: -240 5 units np
MLB 08/12 Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles pick: under pts: 10.5 3 units np
MLB 08/12 Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners pick: Chicago White Sox pts: +130 2 units np

 

[mp5070]

Half Bets

SSG

NY v. Arizona 3:40pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 -110 (8*)Best Bet

 

[Yanks]

Alfred Kelley

$1,000 bet of the day!!!

St Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

Take St Louis Cardinals on the moneyline.

 

[Yanks]

Rated Picks

MLB:

MLB 08/12 Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies pick: Colorado Rockies pts: -1.5 (-115) 3 units np
MLB 08/12 Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies pick: Colorado Rockies pts: -240 5 units np
MLB 08/12 Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles pick: under pts: 10.5 3 units np
MLB 08/12 Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners pick: Chicago White Sox pts: +130 2 units np

Added

MLB 08/12 Houston Astros at Florida Marlins pick: Florida Marlins pts: -1.5 (+120) 2 units
MLB 08/12 Houston Astros at Florida Marlins pick: Florida Marlins pts: -170 3 units <!-- / message -->

 

[Yanks]

Insider Sports Report

4 Star Texas Rangers

 

[arti83]

Gold Key Pick:

COLORADO JIMENEZ -R -1.5 Runs, -120 Over Pittsburgh (MLB, 8:40 et)

 

[arti83]

Free Silver Key Pick for Wednesday ML Baseball:

Over 8.5 Total Runs, Washington at ATLANTA (7:10 et)

 

[boothm]

big al 5*

Rays

 

[jumbotron]

Scott Rickenbach 9* Top Play

CWS/Seattle Over 7.5 runs

 

[Yanks]

Premier Cappers

Yankees and Toronto Under 9.5 –120 for 3 units

Burnett will be taking the hill for the Yankees today and he has been great for the Yankees giving them a lot of good innings pitched and having 9 out of 10 quality starts in a row. Romero will be going for Toronto and he has been struggling some as of late but his day numbers are impressive being 6-1 with under a 3 ERA. With two good pitchers on the mound today I just can’t see to many runs in this game. With AJ facing his old team I see him being very focused in this game and with Romero Day numbers this is a good combo for an under here. Both AJ games against Toronto have gone under the total while Romero gave up 3 ER in 6.1 innings with the bullpens giving up some runs. But today is a good day for an under at 9.5 where the line I would expect to be at 9 or under.

 

[Yanks]

Tom Freese

Rangers at Indians

Pick: Rangers -110

Texas is 25-10 after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 7-2 their last 9 games as favorites. The Rangers are 14-5 their last 19 games vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30. Starter Tommy Hunter has allowed 10 runs total in his last 5 starts. Cleveland starter Fausto Carmona has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. Cleveland is 23-47 in Game 2 of a series. The Indians are 17-35 off a win and they are 7-16 their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

10* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON TEXAS (Hunter vs. Carmona)